Financial Analysis

Unit Economics Calculator

Calculate contribution margin, fully-loaded profit per order, break-even point, and identify the biggest cost levers to improve profitability.

What This Skill Does

This skill takes your revenue and cost data and produces a complete unit economics breakdown. It calculates contribution margin per order (before and after returns), fully-loaded profit per order, break-even analysis, and a sensitivity table showing how profits change when key inputs shift. Most importantly, it ranks your cost levers by impact so you know where to focus.

What You Need

Revenue per order, COGS, shipping costs, payment processing fees, return rate, packaging costs, CAC, and monthly overhead/order volume.

Prompt Template

Copy this prompt, replace the [BRACKETED] placeholders with your data, and paste into Claude.

Calculate full unit economics for my e-commerce business: - Average revenue per order: $[X] - Product COGS: $[X] - Shipping cost per order: $[X] - Packaging per order: $[X] - Payment processing: [X]% of revenue - Return rate: [X]% - Return shipping cost: $[X] per return - Customer acquisition cost (CAC): $[X] - Monthly fixed overhead: $[X] - Monthly order volume: [X] Produce: 1. Contribution margin per order (before and after returns) 2. Contribution margin percentage 3. Fully-loaded profit per order (including allocated overhead) 4. Break-even analysis (orders needed per month to cover fixed costs) 5. Sensitivity table: show how profit per order changes with ±10% shifts in AOV, COGS, return rate, and CAC 6. Rank the top 3 cost levers by impact — where should I focus to improve profitability? 7. What AOV increase would I need to achieve a 20% net margin?

Example Output

Here is what Claude produces when you use this skill with sample data.

**Per-Order Economics:** | Line Item | Amount | % of Revenue | |-----------|--------|-------------| | Revenue | $85.00 | 100.0% | | COGS | ($28.00) | 32.9% | | Shipping | ($7.50) | 8.8% | | Packaging | ($2.00) | 2.4% | | Processing (3%) | ($2.55) | 3.0% | | **Contribution Margin** | **$44.95** | **52.9%** | **Return-Adjusted Margin:** - 15% of orders are returned. Each return costs $6.00 in return shipping plus the lost contribution. - Blended return cost per order: 15% x ($44.95 + $6.00) = $7.64 - **Margin After Returns: $37.31/order (43.9%)** **Fully-Loaded Profit Per Order:** - Allocated overhead: $12,000 / 450 orders = $26.67/order - CAC: $52.00/order - **Fully-loaded profit: $37.31 - $26.67 - $52.00 = ($41.36)/order** Wait — this business is currently unprofitable on a fully-loaded basis. Let's separate first-order vs. repeat economics: - First order (with CAC): $37.31 - $26.67 - $52.00 = **($41.36) loss** - Repeat order (no CAC): $37.31 - $26.67 = **$10.64 profit** - You need ~4.9 repeat purchases per customer to recover CAC **Break-Even Analysis:** - Orders to cover overhead only: $12,000 / $37.31 = 322 orders/month ✅ (you do 450) - Orders to cover overhead + all CAC: $12,000 / ($37.31 - $52.00) = N/A (contribution after CAC is negative) - Break-even requires reducing CAC below $37.31 or increasing AOV **Sensitivity Table (impact on margin after returns per order):** | Variable | -10% | Current | +10% | Impact | |----------|-------|---------|------|--------| | AOV ($76.50 / $85 / $93.50) | $32.44 | $37.31 | $42.19 | +$4.88/order | | COGS ($25.20 / $28 / $30.80) | $39.81 | $37.31 | $34.81 | +$2.50/order | | Return rate (13.5% / 15% / 16.5%) | $38.55 | $37.31 | $36.08 | +$1.24/order | | CAC ($46.80 / $52 / $57.20) | — | — | — | +$5.20/order* | *CAC doesn't affect contribution margin but has the largest impact on fully-loaded profit. **Top 3 Cost Levers (ranked by impact):** 1. **CAC ($52)** — Your biggest lever. Every $1 reduction in CAC flows straight to profit. Reducing CAC by 25% to $39 saves $13/order = $5,850/month. Focus on retention and organic channels. 2. **AOV ($85)** — A 10% increase to $93.50 adds $4.88/order = $2,196/month. Test bundles, upsells, or free-shipping thresholds at $95. 3. **Return rate (15%)** — Reducing to 10% adds $3.82/order = $1,719/month. Improve sizing guides, product photos, and description accuracy. **To reach 20% net margin:** You need AOV of ~$128, or reduce CAC to ~$18, or (more realistically) a combination — AOV to $100 + CAC to $35 + return rate to 10% gets you to a $19.80 fully-loaded profit (19.8% margin).

Tips for Best Results

Do not forget to include return shipping and restocking costs — a 15% return rate can flip a profitable order to a loss.

Calculate unit economics by channel too: your Google Shopping CAC might be $30 while Instagram is $55, changing profitability dramatically.

Re-run quarterly as costs shift with supplier negotiations, shipping rate changes, and seasonal volume.

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